While many are calling this attack on Iran just theater and that Trump had to pretend he bombed Iran since there appears to be no significant damage, regardless of whether it was real or not, the shock in the Arab world is real, and this is still the beginning, not the end. Our computer does NOT show that this war cycle will be subsiding. The reactions from numerous sources are real. The U.S. joined Israel in striking Iran’s nuclear sites on June 21, which was named “Operation Midnight Hammer.” President Donald Trump wrote, “Monumental Damage was done to all Nuclear sites in Iran.” Israel continues to target Iran’s nuclear and military infrastructure.
Despite these claims that the attack was FAKE, reliable sources confirm that Abbas Araghchi, the Iranian foreign minister, has arrived in Moscow this morning, petitioning for direct support from Putin. As I have stated, both Iran and Ukraine are part of the same Neocon plot. Russia’s TASS news agency has reported that Araghchi did make a statement upon his arrival in Moscow before any talks took place.
There has been rising opposition within Iran that began in 2018, right on target.
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Economic Protests (Continued from Dec 2017 – Jan 2018)
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Dervish Protests (February 2018)
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Protests over Water Scarcity & Economic Hardship (Summer 2018)
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Nationwide Fuel Price Protests (November 2019)
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Protests over Downing of Ukraine Flight PS752 (January 2020)
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Khuzestan Water Protests (July 2021)
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Nationwide Protests over Economic Hardship & Death in Custody (May 2022) (“Death to Khamenei”).
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“Woman, Life, Freedom” Uprising (September 2022 – Ongoing Impact). Repression saw extreme brutality that permanently damaged the regime’s legitimacy among the youth.
This list captures major waves, but numerous smaller-scale protests over wages, unpaid salaries, pension cuts, environmental issues, and local grievances occur constantly across Iran. The “Woman, Life, Freedom” movement represents the most profound challenge to the Islamic Republic’s authority in its history. Protests frequently erupt around anniversaries of key events (Amini’s death, executions like Mohsen Shekari and Majidreza Rahnavard), funerals of killed protesters (e.g., Armita Geravand), and new incidents (e.g., poisonings of schoolgirls).
As our model wars, we are in the final up-leg of Iran, where we are likely to see the overthrow of the government in 2027. However, between then and now, the government is fighting for its survival domestically, which implies that it will become more authoritarian, just as we see this same trend in all governments experiencing economic decline by 2028.
The world is bracing for Iran’s response after the US strikes. The State Department is warning Americans to be cautious, especially those in Europe. The Islamic Republic vowed to retaliate, and Israel showed no sign of letting up. Yet, Iran’s Abbas Araghchi urgently flew to Moscow this morning to seek support. Donald Trump has threatened further military action if Tehran doesn’t make peace with Israel. That is just not going to happen. The Neocons have boxed Trump in brilliantly and are once again major players in American Foreign policy with the US Intelligence Agencies that offer no hope of this being FAKE or just a passing event. Many airlines are canceling flights to the Persian Gulf, and Japan’s biggest banks are considering pulling their staff from the region.
