QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I just write to you because you are the only source for reliable news and forecasting here in Poland and Estonia. Your computer forecast our election and the markets incredibly. I understand why people try to slander you. It is always kill the messenger because they cannot argue with the message. I was concerned that you said 2025 was 86 years from Hitler invading Poland. Do you have any updates? I fear for Poland’s future.
LK
ANSWER: Yes, President Duda called for a new Polish parliament to convene after the October 15th elections, one to be led by former (unelected) EU President Donald Tusk.
The tensions with similar rhetoric preceded Hitler’s invasion of September 1st, 1939, for several months. That began in January/February 1939, and curiously, it was about 8.6 months later when the invasion took place. The rhetoric is now equally hateful. This is not going to look good. Tusk wants war with Russia.
This year is 86 years from the 1939 invasion of Poland. The target year 2025 was also showing up to the start of civil unrest in Romania. This is an important year overall for the Eastern European nations in general.
The Warsaw Share Index has an important Double Directional Change for the 2nd quarter here this year. With Trump suspending money to Ukraine, we must ask, will Europe pick up the tab? If not, will the Ukrainian politicians demand Zelensky resign and flee the country while he still can? Maybe Britain will give him political asylum. The key target is the 4th quarter 2025.
